Blog Archive

Thursday, June 3, 2010


Market Recap:
Friday closed with a Black Opening Marubozu, forming a Bearish Shooting Star Pattern, and an engulfing candle which is also bearish.

But the last hourly candle formed a Long Legged Doji, and Price is at the neckline from the 1029.38 low of November 2, 2009, so I expect a small rally on Monday before further selling begins again.

Using the head and shoulders method I get about 162 points from the head to the shoulder line. A likely target of about 1012 can be extrapolated from the right shoulder high of 1172 on 5/12/10. This coincides with the Fibonacci retract from 666.79 to 1576.09 of 1014.

Using the same method and yesterday's high as the shoulder, a target of 944 can be calculated. As I recall 943 was a prominent Fibonacci during the early part of the rally since March of 2009.
The Daily Ichimoku is fully Bearish. The Hourly is also Bearish with a Bearish cross which remains inside the Kumo. The Chikou-span offers resistance at 1070, and beginning around noon the Kumo will become strong at about 1072.
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11:30 EST

Opened my mouth too quickly. Looks like yesterdays prediction that we would fall through the transition was correct. I've adjusted the yellow fork to reflect the latest move below the M60 Kumo

11:15 EST

10:45 EST

The Cyan Fork has replaced the Magenta Fork.
The Red Fork (the experimental fork) has been changed to Blue

You may recall I expected Price to fall through the Kumo Transition. This may happen but the forks appear to be offering major support at that same point so it seems unlikely.

09:30 EST

02:39 EST

The Green Line is the 200 day MA.
This is the /ES

Analysis presented on this Blog has only informational, and educational purpose, and does not represent a proposal for buying or selling currency contracts.

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